Don’t Fall of the Demographic Cliff

Demographic Winter Report #38

1.  Humanity Will Stop Growing within 55 years – Popular Mechanics, September 23 https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/environment/a68003939/population-decline/

Using the U.N’s estimates, which have ben consistently wrong for decades, the authors conclude that the earth’s population will peak at 10.3 billion by 2080. In reality, it could come decades sooner. However, “scientists and experts argue that ‘simply having more babies isn’t the answer.” Why? If you’re not having enough of something, isn’t having more the obvious answer? If you want disinformation on population decline, this is a good place to start.

2. The Good News Hidden in the Birth Rate Decline – Newsweek, September 20 https://www.newsweek.com/good-news-birth-rate-decline-choice-fertility-crisis-2131986#:~:text=%22Unintended%20births%20are%20more%20often,%E2%80%94that’s%20all%20good%20news.%22

Demographer Karen Benjamin Guzzo claims: “Young adults are less often having casual sex (or sex at all), and they’re more often using highly effective methods of contraception” allowing women “to plan their pregnancies, so they can get an education, have careers, find the right partner before having kids.”

Ah, the siren song of wait until all of the stars are perfectly aligned. Then you can have your one and only child in your ‘40s, with a frozen egg.

3. Childlessness Surging in The U.S.  – The Mercury, September 24 https://themercury.com/lifestyles/health/childlessness-surging-in-the-u-s/article_3631c987-a9a8-5726-a7dd-cd28d2fe89b3.html

According to a study produced by the University of New Hampshire’s Carsey school of Public Policy: “In 2024, there were 4 million more women aged 20-39 than in 2006, but 7 million fewer of them have given birth.”

Researcher Kenneth Johnson, a professor of sociology said: “While it’s possible that women who are currently delaying having children may still have them, the substantial rise in the proportion of childless women contributes to something called the ‘demographic cliff’ where the decision to not have children could have significant implications for health care, schools, child-related businesses and eventually for the labor force.” Ya think?

“Many factors likely are influencing some women’s decision to not have kids, Johnson said.”

“These include the rapid increase in housing costs, the growing expense of children, limited access to child care and family leave, lower marriage rates, and greater educational and employment opportunities for women.”

Funny how they never consider the decline of religion affecting the decision not to have children. That’s something that would never occur to secularists.